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Ford Faces Gloomy Earnings Forecast and EV Unit Losses

Ford Faces Gloomy Earnings Forecast and EV Unit Losses

Ford Motor Company recently revealed its financial outlook for the upcoming year, projecting a challenging path as it anticipates declining earnings and ongoing losses in its electric vehicle (EV) segment. This announcement has caught the attention of investors and market analysts, leading to a notable decrease in the automaker's stock value.

In its latest forecast, Ford estimates that the full-year adjusted pretax income will range between $7 billion and $8.5 billion. This marks a significant drop from the $10.2 billion recorded in 2024. The automaker's outlook reflects the hurdles posed by current market conditions, such as rising costs and ineffective cost-cutting measures.

One of the primary concerns for Ford has been the persistent challenge of high warranty expenses, coupled with slower-than-expected progress in reducing operational costs. Notably, in the third quarter, Ford incurred $1 billion in accounting charges due to the decision to halt production of a three-row electric SUV. These factors have impacted overall profitability, with the company striving to mitigate financial strain.

The company's EV unit, branded as Model e, recorded a full-year loss of $5.08 billion in 2024, with revenue declining by 35% to $3.9 billion. For 2025, Ford foresees the unit incurring further losses between $5 billion and $5.5 billion. The automaker attributes much of this financial pressure to ongoing investments in future product development, combined with increased spending to establish new battery manufacturing facilities and the introduction of innovative electric vehicles.

Despite these challenges, Ford achieved a $1.4 billion net cost improvement, signifying efforts to streamline operations even as investments in future technologies escalate. Yet, the struggle remains, particularly as the EV market becomes increasingly competitive.

Besides the EV sector, Ford's commercial vehicle division, Ford Pro, and its segment for gas and hybrid vehicles, Ford Blue, are also facing financial headwinds. Ford Pro's forecasted full-year pretax profit is now projected to be between $7.5 billion and $8 billion, a decline from the previous $9.02 billion. Similarly, expected pretax earnings for Ford Blue have been revised downwards to between $3.5 billion and $4 billion from this year's $5.28 billion.

Upon releasing its fourth-quarter financial results, Ford exceeded Wall Street predictions. However, the overall downturn in projections prompted investors to reconsider their positions, resulting in a 5.1% drop in Ford's shares during after-hours trading, following a 1.5% dip earlier in standard trading sessions.

The current economic landscape presents several challenges for Ford as it navigates through fluctuating market dynamics and strives to adapt to an evolving automotive industry. With a clear focus on innovation and efficiency, Ford's strategic initiatives aim to enhance its competitiveness and secure long-term growth, even amid present financial trials.