- President Tinubu suspends Rivers State governor and lawmakers for 6 months
- Emergency declared over pipeline vandalism and political deadlock
- Military administrator appointed as constitutional experts question legality
- Nigeria’s oil output at risk amid renewed attacks on infrastructure
Nigeria's fragile political stability faces a critical test as President Bola Tinubu invokes emergency powers in Rivers State, Africa’s largest oil-producing region. The unprecedented move follows escalating clashes between Governor Siminalayi Fubara and legislators backed by his predecessor, culminating in attempted impeachment proceedings last week.
Industry analysts warn the crisis could cripple Nigeria’s 1.5 million barrel-per-day production capacity. Recent attacks on the Trans Niger Pipeline mirror 2022’s $1 billion loss from oil theft, but with a dangerous new dimension: security forces report finding explosive devices at vandalism sites, suggesting militant involvement.
West Africa’s energy sector shows worrying parallels. Like Angola’s 2021 Cabinda crisis, regional conflicts increasingly target hydrocarbon infrastructure. However, Nigeria’s reliance on oil for 90% of foreign earnings makes this emergency particularly destabilizing. The Niger Delta Avengers – inactive since 2017 – recently hinted at regrouping via cryptic social media posts.
Legal experts challenge Tinubu’s interpretation of Section 305 constitutional provisions. While the 2013 Borno State emergency maintained elected officials, this suspension sets a controversial precedent. Retired Supreme Court Justice Aloma Mukhtar warns: “Democracy requires restraint. Federal overreach could ignite more state-level conflicts.”
Global markets reacted swiftly, with Brent crude prices rising 2.3% on supply concerns. Domestic fuel stations report panic buying in Lagos as Nigeria’s refineries – operating at 30% capacity since March – face renewed strain. The situation jeopardizes critical World Bank loans tied to economic reforms.